The upcoming superfight between Floyd Mayweather and Conor McGregor has been dominating headlines since it was announced in June. It’s drawn in fans from all walks of life, from hardcore viewers of combat sports, to casual observers who haven’t watched more than a few matches over the years, to people who have never even watched a fight. As sportsbooks around the world have quickly figured out, a lot of these people are also quite interested in betting the outcome. WATCH NOW
McGregor is far and away the fan favorite, and the underdog is generating a flurry of tickets backing him to win. According to ESPN, the UFC star is responsible for 95% of bets at William Hill’s Nevada book, and MGM writes just one Mayweather wager for every 27 it doles out on McGregor.
These are staggering figures, especially considering it is McGregor’s first professional boxing match — and against arguably the greatest pound-for-pound boxer of all time, with an unblemished 49-0 record. Should McGregor pull off the stunning upset, the sportsbooks will be on the hook for massive losses. William Hill admitted that liability is now “well over” a million dollars for a McGregor victory and is hoping—along with just about every other bookmaker on earth—that a flood of late money pours in on Mayweather.
Some of that cash is starting to appear, especially at the South Point in Vegas. The AP recently reported that Joe and Gavin Maloof put up $880,000 for Mayweather to win the bout at -550 odds. Should Money come away victorious, the brothers would stand to profit $160,000. The former owners of the NBA’s Sacramento Kings plan to donate any potential winnings to various charities in the Las Vegas area.
Are the Maloofs on to something with this big bet? Or is the public right to be confident that McGregor will pull off one of the greatest upsets in sports history?
Jon Price of SportsInformationTraders.com, a professional Las Vegas handicapper, has been studying this match for some time and is confident that it will play out a certain way. Before getting to his latest analysis of this mega bout, let’s take a look at the updated odds, latest news and a complete viewing guide for Floyd Mayweather vs. Conor McGregor.
Mayweather vs. McGregor Viewing Guide
Date: Saturday Aug. 26, 2017
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Watch: Showtime (PPV)
Rules: Standard 12-round boxing fight
Weight Class: Super Welterweight (154 Pounds)
Updated Odds (Current as of August 15)
|Floyd Mayweather Victory||-550|
|Conor McGregor Victory||+350|
Odds via Bovada.lv
Mayweather vs. McGregor – Tale of the Tape
|Floyd Mayweather||Name||Conor McGregor|
|Grand Rapids, Michigan||From||Dublin, Ireland|
|49-0 (26 KO)||Record||21-3 (18 KO)|
|5-Division Undefeated Champion||Achievements||2-Division MMA Champion|
|$1.3 billion||Earnings||$34 million|
Glove weight has become a hot issue in the final weeks leading up to this fight. McGregor boasted that he would knock his opponent out within two rounds—faster than his initial prophecy of four—should they utilize lighter gloves.
A traditional super welterweight boxing match mandates the use of 10-ounce gloves, but both sides are now requesting that the Nevada State Athletic Commission sanction the switch to eight-ounce gloves.
Eight-ouncers are usually used for boxing matches fought under 147 pounds, but both parties are hoping that they are permissible for the August 26th showdown—which has a catch weight of 154 pounds. The MMA gloves that McGregor has used during his career are just four ounces, while Mayweather has fought with both eight- and 10-ounce gloves before.
NSAC executive director Bob Bennett spoke with Sky Sports about the issue. He said that the glove weight is negotiable, but it isn’t a common request:
“This is an anomaly. I haven’t experienced this in over three years on the job. I checked with the previous executive director – Hall of Famer Marc Ratner – and our programme officer who has been here for 30 years. To the best of their recollection, we have never had a request like this.”
Mayweather used this as a platform to launch a barb at his opponent through Instagram:
McGregor countered with a profanity-laden post that basically stated he would use any size glove to win and described Money’s hands as brittle.
At the end of the day, the glove size shouldn’t make much of a difference in the outcome of this bout. That will come down to skill, which pro handicapper Jon Price of SportsInformationTraders.com thinks only one of the competitors in this match has in spades. Let’s get to his latest analysis.
The war of words between Mayweather and McGregor ramped up to full speed during their whirlwind press tour in July, but has cooled off a bit since. Mayweather laid out challenges he will face and advantages that McGregor has in a recent interview with ESPN’s Stephen A. Smith:
“He’s a lot younger. When you look at myself and Conor McGregor on paper, he’s taller, has a longer reach, he’s a bigger man from top to bottom. He’s a lot younger, so youth is on his side. And I’ve been off a couple of years. And I’m in my 40s. So, if you look at everything on paper, it leans toward Conor McGregor.”
It was a humble take on the situation that sounds great to the masses of McGregor backers. Money was spot on that his opponent is 11 years younger, plus has an inch of height and two inches of reach on him, but he couldn’t be more wrong about the fight leaning in the two-division UFC champion’s favor.
During his illustrious career, Mayweather has simply dominated the sport of boxing. His stats over 49 fights are mind-blowing, figures that include landing over 43% of punches thrown compared to opponents landing just under 19% against him. Despite his advancing age, Mayweather has gone the distance and won in his last seven bouts. McGregor claims that he will land a knockout, but Floyd has only touched the mat once—all the way back in 2001 when Carlos Hernandez threw a knee and the ref missed the call. He did put a glove down against Zab Judah five years later, but that was officially ruled a slip.
There’s no reason to believe Mayweather has dropped off significantly since his last professional fight in September 2015. He’s taken long breaks before, including his first retirement from boxing after defeating Ricky Hatton in December 2007. Money didn’t return to the ring until September 2009, when he beat Juan Manuel Marquez after a 21-month sabbatical.
Mayweather even claims that he’ll be more offensive in this fight. The boxing world was let down in 2015, when the long-awaited showdown against Manny Pacquiao was a dull, defensive affair. Money acknowledged as much to ESPN’s Smith: “This can’t be a defensive fight. I have to go to him. I owe the public because of the Pacquiao fight. They weren’t pleased with that. They’re gonna be pleased with this fight here.”
The public might not be pleased if Mayweather wins, however. With most of the action on McGregor winning, any other outcome is going to cost the masses in a big way. Regardless, backing Money is the right play and has been since the fight was announced.
The lines have shifted drastically since June’s announcement and now is the perfect time to bet Mayweather big. The favorite is down to a mere -550, half off from the -1100 he opened at in June. It’s expected that more bettors will follow the Maloofs to the books in the coming days, where they will be writing massive tickets for Mayweather wins. Get ahead of this trend and get your bet in now, while Money is an amazing value considering his overwhelming odds to win.